Eight values to re-examine — set each where you feel it, on your own
Two blind placement rounds surfaced a short list of tool values worth a second look. Rather than sit down together, each item is here on its own: what the tool currently uses, what the rounds showed, and a control to record where you'd put it. Roughly ten minutes. Set every item on your own first — when all eight are set, finish the blind pass and the other read appears for a second look.
On the sliders, the handle starts at the current value. Where a round hinted at a different number, a faint tick marks it — it is only a reference, not a recommendation, so move the handle wherever your judgement lands. Every item has a comment box and a leave as is option if you'd keep the current value.
Jonas's answers are now shown. Revise anything or export as is.
Item 1 of 8
Rough air over the fire — the top of the scale
Across the 23-day round, both of us read the smooth-air days a little cooler than the tool and the severe-turbulence days about three to four percent hotter — and it was a clean staircase, not scatter. That points to the top end of the rough-air scale being a touch narrow. Below is the pattern, read against how each of us actually scored those days. The lower steps look right; the two you can move are the severe and extreme steps.
How each of us read the day vs. the tool, grouped by rough air
Rough air
Days
Jonas — read vs. tool
John — read vs. tool
None (smooth)
3
5.2% cooler
2.8% cooler
Light
4
2.3% cooler
4.7% cooler
Moderate
13
0.9% hotter
1.3% hotter
Severe
3
4.2% hotter
3.2% hotter
Current scale, points added over the fire: none 0 · light 1 · moderate 4 · severe 6 · extreme 8. Moderate is shown for context and held fixed here.
Severe step — points added
412
Extreme step — points added
614
Item 2 of 8
Long duty stretch — how much it can add
In the first round, both of us read the long-stretch days — crews well into a run of duty days with no proper reset — hotter than the tool scored them. The question is whether the most this factor can add should climb.
Current most this factor can add: 4.0 points, reached on the last legal day of a duty stretch.
Most this factor can add
28
Item 3 of 8
Evening and fading light — how much it can add
The evening-reload days — flying on toward last light — read heavier than the tool scored them in the first round. The question is whether the most this factor can add, at the worst of the light, should climb.
Current most this factor can add: 5.5 points, reached around last light.
Most this factor can add
310
Item 4 of 8
Training day — how much it can add
After we fixed how training flights were being read into the tool, the trainee days still came out heavier in your reads than the tool scored them in the first round. The question is whether the most a training day can add should climb.
Current most a training day can add: 5.0 points, on a new trainee flying a demanding fire.
Most a training day can add
210
Item 5 of 8
A crew that hasn't flown together yet — is it worth counting?
This factor flags a crew still in its first few flights together. It was raised as possibly too small to register at all — one point on a day that can run to ninety-plus. The question is whether it should stay small, grow enough to matter, or drop to nothing.
Current most this factor can add: 1.0 point, for a crew on its first flight together.
Most this factor can add
05
Item 6 of 8
Stacked storm signs — do we count them all, or trim the overlap?
When one storm cell is working the fire, several separate signs light up at once — rough air, thunderstorm activity nearby, smoke, and fire-driven weather. In both our reads those signs rose and fell together. The question is whether the tool over-counts when a single cell is driving three or four of them at the same time. Note: if we widen the rough-air scale in Item 1, this question matters more, because that cell's rough air now carries more weight.
A.No trim — the stack is real risk, count every sign.
B.A small trim when three or more storm signs are all driven by the same cell.
C.Unsure — park it for a worked example.
Item 7 of 8
New to the seat — are we penalising it twice?
A pilot new to a seat gets a mark from two places at once: the factor for readiness in the role, and the factor for hours in that seat. The scope note flags that these may partly count the same thing. The question is whether they measure different things and both belong, or whether one should stand down when the other is already firing.
A.Keep both — readiness for the role and raw hours are different things.
B.The role-readiness mark should stand down when the seat-hours factors are already firing.
C.Unsure — needs a worked example.
Item 8 of 8
Aerial supervision stands itself down — how should the tool treat it?
New this round, from your note on the no-go set: a self-directed stand-down by aerial supervision is a red flag for sure — almost a no-go on that alone. The tool does not account for it today. The question is how much weight it should carry.
A.Awareness flag only — a terse warning on the day, no change to the score.
B.A scored factor — put it forward for a value fill later.
C.An automatic no-fly, like the storm-cell-within-range rule.